1.中央民族大学 经济学院,北京 100081
2.合肥大学 马克思主义学院,安徽 合肥 230601
3.中国社会科学院 亚太与全球战略研究院,北京 100007
4.中国社会科学院 亚太经合组织与东亚合作研究中心,北京 100007
李森,研究方向:农业经济与国有企业。
收稿:2026-02-04,
修回:2026-03-15,
网络首发:2026-08-03,
纸质出版:2026-07-31
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李森,李董林.“十五五”时期农垦企业提升粮食产业链供应链韧性的新形势与新路径 [J]. 山西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2026,25(4):66⁃77.
Li Sen,Li Donglin.New situations and pathways for state farm enterprises to enhance the resilience of grain industrial and supply chains during the 15th Five⁃Year Plan period [J]. Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2026,25(4):66⁃77.
李森,李董林.“十五五”时期农垦企业提升粮食产业链供应链韧性的新形势与新路径 [J]. 山西农业大学学报(社会科学版),2026,25(4):66⁃77. DOI: 10.13842/j.cnki.issn1671-816X.2026.04.007.
Li Sen,Li Donglin.New situations and pathways for state farm enterprises to enhance the resilience of grain industrial and supply chains during the 15th Five⁃Year Plan period [J]. Journal of Shanxi Agricultural University(Social Science Edition),2026,25(4):66⁃77. DOI: 10.13842/j.cnki.issn1671-816X.2026.04.007.
在全球粮食体系加速重组、外部不确定性上升与极端气候风险常态化的背景下,我国粮食安全议题正由“数量保障”加快迈向“体系安全与韧性提升”。迈向“十五五”,农垦企业作为保障国家粮食安全与重要农产品有效供给的“国家队”,其粮食产业链供应链韧性建设不仅关系稳产保供,更关乎稳预期、稳价格与稳秩序,具有突出的战略意义。本研究立足产业链与供应链韧性理论,结合农业产业链的生物性、季节性、地域分散性与公共品属性,构建“抵抗—适应—恢复—升级”四维韧性分析框架,在此基础上系统刻画“十五五”时期农垦企业面临的新形势:外部环境不确定性上升,国内供需结构与价值链逻辑重塑,治理与技术范式变迁。针对上述新形势,提出农垦企业提升粮食产业链供应链韧性的“四位一体”路径:强基固本、延链强链、技术赋能、协同融通,强调以生产端韧性为底座、以全链条协同为关键、以数据驱动治理为支撑、以多主体制度化联动为保障,推动韧性由恢复性向进化性跃迁。
Against the backdrop of an accelerated restructuring of the global grain system, rising external uncertainty, and the normalization of extreme climate risks, China's food security agenda is shifting from "quantity assurance" toward "system security and resilience enhancement". In the 15th Five⁃Year Plan period, state farm enterprises, as the "national team" of safeguarding national food security and ensuring the effective supply of key agricultural products, play a pivotal role in building resilience across grain industrial and supply chains—an endeavor that is not only crucial for stabilizing production and supply, but also for anchoring expectations, stabilizing prices, and maintaining market order, thus carrying significant strategic importance. Based on theories of industrial⁃chain and supply⁃chain resilience, and taking into account the biological nature, seasonality, geographic dispersion, and public⁃good characteristics of agricultural value chains, this paper develops a four⁃dimensional analytical framework of resilience—"resistance, adaptation, recovery, and upgrading". It systematically identifies the new situations confronting state farm enterprises during the 15th Five⁃Year Plan period: increasing uncertainty in the external environment, the reshaping of domestic supply⁃demand structures and value⁃chain logic, and shifts in governance and technological paradigms. The paper proposes an integrated "four⁃in⁃one" pathway for improving resilience in grain industrial and supply chains: strengthening fundamentals, extending and reinforcing the chain, technology empowerment, and collaborative integration. It underscores production⁃end resilience as the foundation, whole⁃chain coordination as the key, data⁃driven governance as the support, and institutionalized multi⁃actor coordination as the guarantee, there by promoting a transition of resilience from restorative to evolutionary.
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